Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.000936 1.074822e-03 0.001216 0.001369 0.001530 0.001694 0.001873
2025-06-29 0.000729 9.270999e-04 0.001136 0.001370 0.001623 0.001886 0.002178
2025-07-06 0.000631 8.792743e-04 0.001150 0.001461 0.001803 0.002166 0.002574
2025-07-13 0.000478 7.520033e-04 0.001064 0.001432 0.001848 0.002294 0.002803
2025-07-20 0.000337 6.207532e-04 0.000960 0.001374 0.001851 0.002372 0.002974
2025-07-27 0.000270 5.695982e-04 0.000943 0.001411 0.001957 0.002560 0.003263
2025-08-03 0.000192 4.930831e-04 0.000888 0.001396 0.002001 0.002675 0.003468
2025-08-10 0.000108 3.870751e-04 0.000786 0.001317 0.001964 0.002696 0.003564
2025-08-17 0.000059 3.198094e-04 0.000726 0.001285 0.001978 0.002771 0.003718
2025-08-24 0.000016 2.361424e-04 0.000633 0.001205 0.001929 0.002769 0.003783
2025-08-31 0.000002 1.936380e-04 0.000593 0.001190 0.001957 0.002855 0.003945
2025-09-07 NaN 1.722235e-04 0.000583 0.001212 0.002029 0.002992 0.004164
2025-09-14 NaN 1.181616e-04 0.000522 0.001179 0.002053 0.003095 0.004374
2025-09-21 NaN 8.528384e-05 0.000491 0.001185 0.002127 0.003261 0.004661
2025-09-28 NaN 8.141968e-05 0.000517 0.001274 0.002309 0.003558 0.005103
2025-10-05 NaN 4.741892e-05 0.000467 0.001250 0.002343 0.003677 0.005337
2025-10-12 NaN 1.735357e-05 0.000402 0.001197 0.002337 0.003745 0.005510
2025-10-19 NaN 9.468913e-06 0.000395 0.001232 0.002446 0.003954 0.005850
2025-10-26 NaN 8.957564e-07 0.000361 0.001220 0.002490 0.004080 0.006090
2025-11-02 NaN NaN 0.000294 0.001146 0.002447 0.004098 0.006199
2025-11-09 NaN NaN 0.000256 0.001116 0.002462 0.004185 0.006390
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.000198 0.001040 0.002409 0.004184 0.006473
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.000174 0.001026 0.002441 0.004290 0.006683